Monday, October 11, 2010

Canine Bowel Incontinence Can It Be Arthritis?




[originally published in Cubanálisis ]

Waldo Acebo Meireles

Rivers of ink have already run, be it real or digital, on two current issues are closely linked Cuban: the next firing of 500 000 state workers and the adoption of first 124 and then according to Granma , 178 productive activities or services that may be performed by the population. Should we attack or greet these measures? Neither one nor the other, but as the commander said, quite the opposite.

Forgetting the shame, would it be?, That was the CTC who communicate 'officially' on the dismissal of half a million workers, we must not fail to recognize that the measure, which will be a disaster, has a positive, rationalizing the work force nationwide in search of greater productivity, and therefore can not fail to recognize that is something positive, although its results will be terrible for the Cuban working class.

The authorization of activities to be performed by self-employed, has a progressive sense in relation to the statism established in 1968 and maintained over the years with a short and narrow exception in the 90's, But the very way in establishing these activities carries within his failure to tax rates on income, not earnings which would be more complicated, more licensing fees and also proposed tax on personal income. Will do wonders for those self-employed power gain that warrant their efforts.

But where would it stop the Power Point [1] formal or informal leaked onto the Web [by the way how are leaking documents , videos, etc..] in it, obviously prepared for the City of Havana, we assume to be presented to senior party and government, whether it is rather dull and dominated are excerpts from Raul, there are some relevant data.

For example in the slide 8 states:
  • remain available to relocate in the state sector itself between 20 and 24%: approximately 24 450 people in the state sector includes commercial companies and political and mass organizations (only in places demonstrably necessary)

The slide 10:
  • Options on the non-state sector, joint ventures, foreign firms; Cooperative Sector, Self-Employed [TPCP] including: Landlord, Transportation Private others. But obviously does not define the amount to be relocated on the other hand is first mentioned it on 'Private' as something apart and as if the other items they were not.

In slide 13
  • million was established to streamline the entire country of which 137 248 are for the city and the figures given by municipalities, accuracy that leaves open the question: Have you defined not only how many but who? On the other hand draws attention to the disproportion between these total 137 000 and for the whole country. How the capital being the center where he has all organisms and their importance in the national bureaucracy only got that figure?

In the slides 14 and 15
    That
  • of 137 000 will go to the 64 546 non-state sector which includes: 4374 in joint ventures, in 2132 Cooperatives; 54.197 propistas Account, Foreign 1584 and finally 2259 Private [other] So if you subtract the 137 thousand 24 450 to be relocated in the state sector and 64 thousand iran, theoretically, non-state sector, would then be 48 252 people without any location in the air.

The slide 17 is defined that:
  • New tax system, more personalized, more rigorous . 4 types of taxes: "About personal income - on sales - The hiring of the workforce - on social security. Put another way such taxes of 25% for social security, most between 10 and 40% of revenues, are not the only tax positions that fall on the self-employed which is why it is concluded in the slide 19

Slide 19:
  • Define the problems which faced the self-employed are: Matter premium; Insufficient training, few local initiatives and that this will lead to "many may fail before the year" [sic] does not mention the tremendous burden that imposes a bitter enemy parasitic state that there is an accumulation of wealth in the hands of the population.

In slide 20, 21 and 22:
  • Lists ideas for cooperative activities, some as unprecedented as feed producers, repair bridges, repair of roads and sidewalks; boats within Bay [yes, it is not going to go wrong ...] Cassava Workshop, Funeral; Ludotecas electronic or mechanical, cleaning of beaches and many others, many of which lists activities that the state has abandoned.

All previous story predicts that the proposed measures will result a failure, first by the way they intend to run in which it is to obviate the basic concept of ownership, private property, which is not spoken, nor set the minimum legal guarantees that companies, cooperatives, or activities that are developed can not be reversed at will from one state to track the loss of its absolute economic control.

other words, there is a total and utter lack of transparency in the implementation of the proposed measures. First is left to the CTC the announcement of the guillotine to come, the second is used as the source Granma most appropriate partially transmit information on the self-employment to the population. Recall that in the 90 self-employment was authorized in the same terms, with a total lack of transparency.

has not issued a decree, a law, not even a resolution, and bear in mind that between one of the measures is to allow the hiring of wage labor, which conflicts with the Constitution. Clearly they do not want to establish, or issue a legally binding document that then have to be abolished. The cyclical nature is evident.

Most important is not resolved and defined anything about the forms of property, private or cooperative, it is evident reluctance to mention the word private

not have defined some basic elements such as those of whether to provide microloans to the self-employed, how will purchase raw materials and other resources, that is, all these fundamental elements, or left to chance, or not There is no interest in defining them.

All this makes them doubt the honesty with which they are implementing the activities and prefigures cuentapropia actually no lasting interest in these measures can make disappear in one fell swoop, as has happened previously.

In my opinion these measures are only palliative, rather ill-conceived, to the chaotic economic situation in the country, it measures it intends to make a really significant shift in the autocratic and totalitarian ways of handling economy

What to expect from a state that considers it necessary to publish in the Official Gazette of goods prices, taking them out and self-determination of those prices for the cost of a free market? The free development of the market is not in the mind or in the government's purposes, it is a taboo to let economic forces free to adjust, but need some kind, at least government intervention.

If indeed the government was willing to release the productive forces and relations of production change, that in Marxist terminology, then had not set these ridiculous lists, but simply had said, for instance: All production and service activities are allowed except those required for its implementation necessarily a top-level title. Period.

On the other hand, how the government thinks will really solve the unemployment generated with the self-employment? For me it is clearly not and this is evident from the above analysis we did, the slides 14 and 15, in advance 35% of those who are dismissed will not work in the ways they intend to actually be much more since in practice the activities that are permitted in practice already in full operation, although illegal, meaning that those seeking to start as self-employed will find a market already saturated, will have to find niches and see if they are within authorized.

addition tax burdens that are excessive advertising startup, which does not reflect a genuine interest in the development of self-employment, rather it seems that the aim is to discourage, the logic would lead to a minimum tax rates and licensing costs for a future irlas increasing according to experience and economic performance of attainment, but, as noted cynically, in the slide 19, many go bankrupt within a year.

How does the population of these measures? An interesting story plot BBC with the title "Cuba: Who are the" self-employed? " dated October 3, let us dive into the current thinking of many self-employed. Here are some of those views:

  • Magdalena Villa Rental of weddings and birthday suits. "The opening of self-employment is a proof that the government is doing and, as in other times, will probably end up banning it after a while. And even if they do not, do not see any chance of success because the economic situation is very difficult. My business is so bad that sometimes I have not to pay taxes. "

  • Evaristo Perez, owner of a café. "What the government is doing is to legalize what already exists in secret. Now the problem is how they will do with so many people asking for license. Everything is still very unclear, no one has told us where or how they will operate these businesses, even where we buy what we need. "

  • Ramiro Romero, medicinal plants and sell ornamental. "The opening of self-employment should be continuous, without the marches that occurred prior ago. We also have to clarify things. I do not know what exactly I can sell. It also depends on a cooperative as an intermediate state that takes part of my profits without doing anything to hamper my business. "

  • Yanet Ferrer, a shoemaker. "I work with my husband. Here we gain far more than any company in the State and also see the money every day. The only thing we need to be perfect is to have somewhere in the glue, wires, knives and stuff we need. The lack of State provision requires us to buy everything on the street (black market). "

  • Juan Palacios, a maker of bricks. "I have piles of bricks in different parts of the city and no purchase. Who is going to build a house if you have no food. Supply and demand is something that must be taken into account but also the need. Havana is falling and I have bricks. The changes give me the same thing because while I can not continue like hiring me to work. "

  • Alejandro Pérez, a bookseller." I have no problems with these new measures, but I think prohibitions should be removed. We do not sell books leave with less than 5 years did not allow us to sell books, pencils ... Go! normal things that sells a bookcase in any the world. In addition, we have only 10 inspectors for this park and now they send others to control us. And believe me that those who do need to control is to the inspectors. "

  • Antonio Manresa, repairing rubber (tires) for cars, motorcycles and bicycles." I agree with government measures. That's to allow everyone to take business very well but the truth is that people do not have money to open. I myself do not hesitate or 4 tires per day and then I have to pay 300 pesos (U.S. $ 12) a month just for taxes. I think need to lower taxes because otherwise we are drowning. "

  • Bernardo Fuentes, potter." To me the measures seem good especially that I can hire employees. In the workshops we need manpower and we are always scared that the inspector comes and gives us a fine of 1,500 pesos (U.S. $ 60) for each worker to find. We must also solve the problem of mud and wood that we bought at today, does not give us invoice and we risk more fines. The government has to be who we sell ".

This sampler of opinions touching points: The lack of confidence in the proposed measures, lack of information, the absurd and unnecessary controls tend to generate corruption, excessive tax burdens, the lack of a market to obtain legal and other raw materials.

is clear that the pessimism and lack of confidence not only in the minds of those who from outside and from further analyze these impending changes, which have nothing structural, on the Island If we accept as reliable the sample that performed the reporter Raquel Perez to the BBC there there the same mistrust and pessimism, we note that all interviews were conducted with self-employment today that more or less clandestine and illegal conduct their business and face the limitations of a market controlled by a omnipotent state.

After years since it was announced they were going to take action now appear in these formulas already seen before and also undercooked. No, it really is hard to expect to have results, or rather, with results that are needed to guide the economy in the direction correct.

time, and quite soon, or we will remove the reason.





[1] is dated August 24 2010

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